Heavy's Axis Power Craps Forum

Let's see if we can continue to thump this deceased equine a few more times from a slightly different perspective. ~The chance of making 0 PL-Points...0.594522...that equals 59.45% of all randomly-thrown hands. Now remember the chances of making one or more PL-Points is always 40.55%; but for the p...

It’s important to note that in my above post, I was structuring the "odds against" numbers only in terms of the Fire-bet and a random-roller's chances of making one...two...three...four...five...or six different PL-Points in the same hand. Let me explain: ~We all know that there's about a...

Fire-bet Basics Randomly speaking: ~The odds against making 1 PL-Point is 3.8:1 ~The odds against making 2 separate PL-Points is 9.9:1 ~The odds against making 3 separate PL-Points is 30:1 ~The odds against making 4 separate PL-Points is 113:1 . If you accomplish this with a Fire-bet in action, the...

CrapsGenius wrote:Wow! this thread has way too much to read.

CG,

This is a TWO-page thread! If you deem that 'too much to read'; then you are likely going to continue doing a whole lot of needless wheel re-inventing in the future.

MP

Hi CG, Again, are we talking about betting on random outcomes, or those produced by skilled dice-influencers ? For example, your adjustments to WinCraps to reflect "real table feel"; are they based on betting on random-rollers or skilled DI's? You seem to be indicating that it is on skill...

For those "WinCraps" users, I have written a "Genius2MaxOdds" file and ran many simulations adjusting the probabilities section to cater to a more "real table feel" Hi CG, Are we talking about betting on random-rollers here or are we talking about betting on your own i...

Gamblers are ALWAYS looking for patterns in random outcomes...and they often see them; but mostly after -the-fact. We call that bias-confirmation . The casinos love players like that because random-walk 'patterns' (just like trends and streaks ) are always in some stage of either formation or disba...

Hi Tabletop, Some gaming-jurisdictions have arcane rules when it comes to markers and extending casino-credit. ~In some cases, the cage (as dictated by the Casino Credit department) will re-confirm the player's identity and make him sign an acknowledgement as to his current Line-of-Credit drawdown-...

Hi Tabletop, Those first-point-cycle-roll numbers ONLY apply to dice-influencers . As far as random-rollers are concerned; the less you bet , and the less often you bet on them; the less you'll lose . So waiting for one point-cycle roll would be good ...waiting for two p-c rolls before betting on R...

While tokes tossed in at the end of a session are always appreciated ; it’s the ones that make it INTO the box DURING your session that have the greatest effect while you are still playing . While end-of-session tokes show your appreciation for a job well done after the fact , and they do have some...

Hi Tony, I take the libertarian view of the "How much random betting is too much?" question. For me , it's as little as possible; but as both you and London Shooter have said, you are principally in this for the juice of the action , and profit-making is several rungs lower in terms of ga...

Hi Tony, You probably won't like this answer any better than you liked the last two. :D IF you have to bet on a random-roller (principally on the two or three RR's immediately preceding your table-position, in order for you to get the dice when they come around); a naked (no-Odds) table-minimum PL ...

Hi Tony, I wasn't trying to give you a hard time, but rather, I was trying to illustrate how skilled-shooters often make things extra difficult on themselves (by placing a heavier-than-reasonable burden on their own shooting) when they bet rather heavily on random-rollers . ~You say you can't affor...

On all randies, I'll go with no pass line. If point is either 6 or 8, should I just go sister or place the point also? Or should I go with a 5 and 9 for 30 each and after 1 hit down to 15 apiece and add either the 6 or 8 for 12, which leaves me $0 exposure to 7? Tonybugs I'm thinking that if a mode...

If you buy in for 1500.00 1- What would your iron cross betting strategy be? 2- What would your place bet across be? 3- What would your conservative betting be? Keep in mind you are betting on yourself only and not table randies. Thanks Hi Gargoil, ~What is your validated in-casino advantage over e...

Getting dealers to instantly (and automatically ) mentally salivate like Pavlov’s dog when you toss in a toke, is a simple matter of reflex conditioning . As you know, world-renowned Russian physiologist Ivan Pavlov noticed that dogs tended to salivate if they saw food even before it was actually p...

Hi DicePops, A $2000 buy-in for the MP $204-Across Regression would be reasonable. No, I do not chart tables, nor do I chase micro-streaks, nano-trends, or butterflies. The idea behind this approach was to find the most efficient way to make the most net-revenue off of most dice-influencers most of...

Here’s a question for you: How do you get dealers to automatically drool (like Pavlov’s dog salivates when his dinner bell gets rung) when you toss in a toke? I’ll provide my own approach to developing conditioned reflex responses in dealers after you’ve had a chance to think about it, and perhaps ...