PGA Picks

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SHOOTITALL
Posts: 1276
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2011 6:42 pm

PGA Picks

Post by SHOOTITALL » Tue May 14, 2019 3:05 pm

The Bethpage State Park Black Course is one bad MF. Tiger won here in 2002 with a score of -3 (277) and that was in his prime.
So, my pick as a favorite, which really isn't a favorite is Jason Day at 20-1, but I like Rory McIlroy 12-1 also. He has not been playing well since he got hurt over a year ago so I believe his ribs still bother him.
However, I have a little faith in some longshots. What this course takes is accuracy in every part of your game and you are severely penalized for every errant shot. My long shot picks:
Brandt Snedeker @ 150-1
Sung Kang @185-1
And for those interested here is where I got the odds: http://www.vegasinsider.com/golf/odds/futures/
Your craps plan? The dice gods laughed.

r_ventura_23
Posts: 631
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2017 9:11 am
Location: New Jersey

Re: PGA Picks

Post by r_ventura_23 » Tue May 14, 2019 3:22 pm

I like Brooks. Long and straight. Not a fan of the odds though.

My book is offering Tiger at 15 to 1.

thnick
Posts: 1066
Joined: Mon Dec 21, 2015 2:31 pm

Re: PGA Picks

Post by thnick » Wed May 15, 2019 8:24 am

How do you even determine odds on a tournament which lasts four days? Day by day I can see it..Hi, Lo..spread, but betting on a human being over four days. You might as well go for a quick pick or a lottery ticket. A horse player once told me never bet on anything that is alive. Which was the heighth of irony since he played the horses endlessly.

r_ventura_23
Posts: 631
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2017 9:11 am
Location: New Jersey

Re: PGA Picks

Post by r_ventura_23 » Thu May 16, 2019 10:46 am

I got in on Koepka at 11 to 1. He is now down to 2.5 to 1. However he is in a bit of trouble.

SHOOTITALL
Posts: 1276
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2011 6:42 pm

Re: PGA Picks

Post by SHOOTITALL » Thu May 16, 2019 12:55 pm

r: Everyone is in trouble on this course so what is happening now doesn't mean a lot. Right now, all are just trying to shoot par and stay in the hunt. I suspect the cut will be somewhere around +7, maybe more. What is happening is when a player gets in a sand trap, he is fooked because of the high banks he has to play a layup shot just to escape so basically, a sand trap is is a 1.5 shot penalty, not the 1 point penalty of normal traps, excluding the pot traps of a links course like St Andrews.
Limerick from St Andrews:

Oh, the dirty little pill
rolled down the hill,
straight into the bunker,
After 13, I was on the green
and then by God, I sunk her
Your craps plan? The dice gods laughed.

r_ventura_23
Posts: 631
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2017 9:11 am
Location: New Jersey

Re: PGA Picks

Post by r_ventura_23 » Thu May 16, 2019 1:03 pm

It Koepka keeps playing like this, that cut number is going to be much lower.

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