The Belmont

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Raider
Posts: 218
Joined: Mon Oct 01, 2012 2:20 am

The Belmont

Post by Raider » Sun Jun 02, 2019 8:04 am

Here are the lastest PP , still time for one to drop, or one or more to enter.

http://www.brisnet.com/wp-content/uploa ... nders3.pdf


and the latest Odds


Belmont Stakes Contenders
Horse Odds
Tacitus 2-1
War of Will 5-1
Bourbon War 8-1
Master Fencer 8-1
Intrepid Heart 10-1
Sir Winston 10-1
Everfast 12-1
Spinoff 15-1
Tax 20-1
Joevia 20-1

With the TC not on the line, the payouts won't be huge but will be better than the Preakness. This is going to be a weak field. the points system hasn't had an effect on the Belmont, other than two TC Winners. The WOW suporters will be betting him, so his odds should go down. With two longshots coming in second in both the KYD and the Preakness, I think an upset is going to happen. for this race, I would consider anything >10-1 as a long shot, and the three I like the most are Intrepid Heart , Sir winston, and for a strange reason Spinoff. Then we have Master Fencer from Japan, is this the year that a horse from Japan wins the belmont?

Given the length of the race, Post postion won't be as important the weather is looking good, last time I check it was a 20% chance of rain.
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jaime1943
Posts: 974
Joined: Thu Nov 01, 2012 3:21 pm

Re: The Belmont

Post by jaime1943 » Sun Jun 02, 2019 10:36 am

Morning R,

as of today i like Tacitus.

jaime.

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Raider
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Re: The Belmont

Post by Raider » Mon Jun 03, 2019 5:15 pm

He is going to be the one to beat. The Fav doens't have a good record in the belmont. I am going to go with Sir Winston, on top and will include both WOW will Taitus underneath. With no KYD winner, or a triple Crown on the Line, this one is just goin to be another G1 horse race. Would be intresting if WOW wins.
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Blackcloud
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Re: The Belmont

Post by Blackcloud » Mon Jun 03, 2019 6:48 pm

UNHH!! With 11 nags it still qualifys as a stamped according to JP. UNHH!!

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Raider
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Re: The Belmont

Post by Raider » Wed Jun 05, 2019 6:26 am

yes it will be, but not as many horses as in the Derby, the draw was last night

https://www.horseracingnation.com/news/ ... itions_123

the 1 Joevia is the speed horse, and should be in the lead on the first turn, in the stretch, but should start losing steam on the far turn.

the two everfast, the preakness longshot , will he try the same thing this time, get to the rail and stay within striking distance.

the 3 Master fencer, was hauling ass at the end of the derby, Big sandy is like his home tracks in japan, my guess he will make his move in the far turn.s

the 4 tax, he will be out side and behind Joevia into the first turn and the stretch, rate off of him, for as long as he can or until joevia poops out, if he does

the 5 , I think will be ahead of the two, but behind the four

the six, spinoff, will be ahead of the five going into the first turn, then move over just off of tax

the seven Sir Winston will rate just of the six
the eight, Intrepid Heart will be along side of tax

WOW and tacitus will stay a little on the outside, keep the rabbit in striking range in the strech

When the hit the mid point of the far turn, it should start to break losse, the 1 should start losing ground, and the others will start closing ground, by the time they hit the last part of the far turn, they should be five wide, tacitus passing WOW, SW,IH MF SO gearing up
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Raider
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Re: The Belmont

Post by Raider » Sat Jun 08, 2019 5:31 am

Physics Trumps Probability

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Raider
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Re: The Belmont

Post by Raider » Sat Jun 08, 2019 5:59 pm

COOL, hit the ex and the tri
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jaime1943
Posts: 974
Joined: Thu Nov 01, 2012 3:21 pm

Re: The Belmont

Post by jaime1943 » Sat Jun 08, 2019 7:47 pm

Greetings raider,

great triple win for you. and ex. good day for the raider man.

I Had the ex 11 times AND plus $120 dollars on the show money.

Do you now see how you can make alot of money betting my way, 200 hundred to WIN 200 ex wheel with my horse on the bottom AND 400 to show.

raider how many times did you have your ex AND triple.? i think you should bet my way to make alot of money in the game of Horse Racing.

With my betting system AND your handicapping system YOU should make a good living betting horses.

jaime from puerto rico U.S.A
Last edited by jaime1943 on Sun Jun 09, 2019 7:21 am, edited 2 times in total.

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Raider
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Re: The Belmont

Post by Raider » Sun Jun 09, 2019 12:08 am

I had ten on the ex, and a wheeled .50 ent Tri. I went to my strongest bet, the ex.If I had bet your way, I would have won $580, I had 300 on the race, 6 ex, 3 tri, and 8 supers, one of the tri and one of the tri were straight for 10 each, neither one of them won. were you one the ten or the 7? You changed the amounts on your system, it was 200 to win, 200 ex, and 400 to show. Just did the math, if you did that on the ten, you won about 350. Hope you had the 7.I will use you bet on true long shots, the 7 was not over 10 to 1 at post time Here are my bets

COMPLETED: 59c95-23208
BEL
#11
$3 Exacta 1, 2, WT, 7, 8, 9, 10 none $24.00
$0.00
- $24.00
COMPLETED: dda4c-0ae20
BEL
#11
$10 Exacta 3, 4, 5, 8, 9, 10, WT, 7 none $60.00
$0.00
- $60.00
COMPLETED: 657db-d4bd5
BEL
#11
$5 Exacta 6, WT, 7 none $5.00
$0.00
- $5.00
COMPLETED: 6aec9-65af2
BEL
#11
$3 Exacta 7, WT, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10 none $27.00
$144.00
+ $117.00
COMPLETED: c0687-df04f
BEL
#11
$10 Superfecta 7, WT, 3, WT, 9, WT, 1 none $10.00
$0.00
- $10.00
COMPLETED: 21b38-56c02
BEL
#11
$2 Trifecta 3, WT, 7, WT, 5 none $2.00
$0.00
- $2.00
COMPLETED: 9d41f-236d5
BEL
#11
$2 Trifecta 3, WT, 7, WT, 5 none $2.00
$0.00
- $2.00
COMPLETED: 213da-6e282
BEL
#11
$2 Trifecta 3, WT, 7, WT, 5 none $2.00
$0.00
- $2.00
COMPLETED: b3d29-405c0
BEL
#11
$2 Trifecta 3, WT, 7, WT, 5 none $2.00
$0.00
- $2.00
COMPLETED: 12878-b6528
BEL
#11
$2 Trifecta 8, 9, 10, WT, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, 9, 10, WT, 7 none $36.00
$0.00
- $36.00
COMPLETED: 6156b-8e4f7
BEL
#11
$1 Trifecta 8, 9, 10, WT, 7, WT, 4, 5, 6, 8, 9, 10 none $15.00
$0.00
- $15.00
COMPLETED: a314a-44399
BEL
#11
$1 Trifecta 8, 9, 10, WT, 7, WT, 4, 5, 6, 8, 9, 10 none $15.00
$0.00
- $15.00
COMPLETED: b52a6-aa403
BEL
#11
$3 Exacta 7, WT, 8, 9, 10 none $9.00
$144.00
+ $135.00
COMPLETED: 6eb2c-140e0
BEL
#11
$3 Exacta 7, WT, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10 none $27.00
$144.00
+ $117.00
COMPLETED: 4013e-93185
BEL
#11
$0.50 Trifecta 3, 5, 7, WT, 8, 9, 10, WT, 1, 3, 5, 6, 7 none $18.00
$622.00
+ $604.00
COMPLETED: a541f-39f7a
BEL
#11
$1 Exacta 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, WT, 5, 7, 8, 9, 10 none $25.00
$0.00
- $25.00
COMPLETED: a5878-3b60a
BEL
#11
$2 Superfecta 4, WT, 10, WT, 5, WT, 6 none $2.00
$0.00
- $2.00
COMPLETED: 6c37e-7f891
BEL
#11
$1 Superfecta 10, WT, 8, WT, 4, WT, 1 none $1.00
$0.00
- $1.00
COMPLETED: 56c79-87c7f
BEL
#11
$1 Superfecta 8, WT, 7, WT, 9, WT, 10 none $1.00
$0.00
- $1.00
COMPLETED: 7507e-a517c
BEL
#11
$1 Superfecta 7, WT, 1, WT, 8, WT, 10 none $1.00
$0.00
- $1.00
COMPLETED: 42884-ac894
BEL
#11
$1 Superfecta 10, WT, 6, WT, 4, WT, 7 none $1.00
$0.00
- $1.00
COMPLETED: 4021a-083f5
BEL
#11
$1 Superfecta 8, WT, 3, WT, 10, WT, 4 none $1.00
$0.00
- $1.00
COMPLETED: e8d45-71a39
BEL
#11
$1 Superfecta 10, WT, 4, WT, 8, WT, 1 none $1.00
$0.00
- $1.00
COMPLETED: 3eacc-45c8c
BEL
#11
$1 Superfecta 7, WT, 8, WT, 1, WT, 9 none $1.00
$0.00
- $1.00
COMPLETED: 00667-52690
BEL
#11
$1 Superfecta 7, WT, 1, WT, 8, WT, 3 none $1.00
$0.00
- $1.00
COMPLETED: 866b3-e1819
BEL
#11
$1 Superfecta 6, WT, 4, WT, 10, WT, 7 none $1.00
$0.00
- $1.00
COMPLETED: 42d1d-ceeb4
BEL
#11
$1 Superfecta 10, WT, 4, WT, 9, WT, 8 none $1.00
$0.00
- $1.00
Bad thing about horse racing is the could have would have, should have game If I had bet the right straghit super, 100k, , or the right straight tri at least 10K, instead of 763

Bet hell man, the method payed off, thats all that matters for this race. I need to do a ton of home work until the NEXT big pay day, the breeders cup. right now I am looking at four 1 1/4 Grader ones this summer, to see if it works for the older horses as well.
right now, I just want to throw some dice, horse racing seems to screw with it in my live sessions
Physics Trumps Probability

jaime1943
Posts: 974
Joined: Thu Nov 01, 2012 3:21 pm

Re: The Belmont

Post by jaime1943 » Sun Jun 09, 2019 7:37 am

Morning to you Raider,

Take it from a 75 year old man, some people want to be send to a casino up in the sky when they die BUT i want to be send to

a race track up in the sky when i hit the road.

jaime.

User avatar
Raider
Posts: 218
Joined: Mon Oct 01, 2012 2:20 am

Re: The Belmont

Post by Raider » Sun Jun 09, 2019 9:31 am

How about being on a hot roll, and watching a race at the same time?
Physics Trumps Probability

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