Are you ready for the NBA-

[George1776]

Goodmorning Tgold, r_ventura_23 and members,

That's enough Vacation time, 3day vacation...back to handicapping.

The brain wants action.

After handicapping THE numbers, I came up with the 76ers -2 [ 76ers is my pick for 11/11/2021 ].

Could not Stay away for 10 days.

Hoping i came back for a win WITH the 76ERS. Today I'm on tier 2...200 hundred dollar bet.

luck at the casino.

jaime 1943.

[DarthNater]

Jaime,
That’s a All America pick for Veterans Day

Happy Veterans Day all you vets & thanks for you service !

DN8R

PS Navy beats Army......

[George1776]

Greetings,

Lets welcome back jaime 1943 with a lost. 76ers 109 and Tor 115... here we go again, best team tanks at home.

On the 12 of Nov, i have the [ LAKERS ] - 3.5. Why is it That Lebron is all of a sudden a accident ready to happen.

luck at the casino.

jaime 1943.

[George1776]

Greetings members,

This year I'm keeping track of Money won and lost, not games Won and Lost, because this year I'm betting tiers. In this case Tier [ 1 is a $100 dollar bet. ] Tier 2 is a $200 dollar bet. ] Tier 3 is $300 dollar bet. ]

So far in [ Tier 1 i have lost $ 330 dollars.
$ 20 dollars.
...................
$ 350 Total.

So far in [ Tier 2 i have Won $ 1,200 dollars.
Won $ 180 dollars.
Won $ 80 dollars.
...........................
Won $ 1,460 dollars.

So far in [ [ Tier 2 i have lost $ 220 dollars .

Won $1,460 dollars .

Lost $ 220 dollars .
...........................


Total WON- $1,460
Total LOST- $ 570

PLUS .............
$ 890 dollars. [ so far this year ].

Somebody, please go over these numbers And tell us if they are right OR wrong. Thank you.

Tonight, 11/12/2021 my pick are the [ LAKERS - 3.5 ]

luck at the casino.

jaime 1943.

[George1776]

Greetings Tgold,

Today my pick the lakers are losing by 32 points, on Tier 2... that will be 3 losers in a row.

That sends me back to Tier 1, $100 dollar bet.

Today the 13th of Nov, my pick is BOSTON - 3 ... On tier 1. $ 100 dollar bet.

That's a 3 game losing streak, The way Tgold puts it...you will also go into losing streaks.

luck at the casino.

jaime 1943.

[George1776]

Testing...jaime1943, I can log in.

but can not reply.

[George1776]

Greetings,

I'M trying to post a reply, I can log in to the forum...when i post, the system sends me back to log in, but i will out smart the system that sends me back to Login, just give time.

11/14/2021 LAKERS - 3.

jaime1943.

[George1776]

Greetings and a goodmorning to you,

Heavy,today i wa abble to login on my third attempt, that's good.

Todays pick [ Washington - 2 looks as a Overlay. ] so for that reason, my bet is [ Washinton - 2 ]

Tgold, what is your Opinion on this game.

luck to you.

jaime 1943.

[George1776]

Greetings guys,

On monday had Washington - 2 THEY won by 5 points, good for me. on 2 game win Streak.

on Tuesday i have NO PICK on these NBA games.

luck at the Casino.

jaime1943.

[George1776]

Greetings Heavy and members,

My bookie and friend, is telling me to go back to ONE flat bet on these games.

Starting WED 11/17/2021, I will start Betting one flat bet of 300 dollars each game.

So far this season ...WON 14 Games and lost 11 GAMES. [ Plus 3 games ]

luck at the casino.

jaime 1943.

[Tgold]

Hi Jaime--good wins on your last two picks.
I missed the first one /won with Wash last night as I thought u were taking a sabatical til the 17th and simply didnt see your pick on Bos.

Im looking forward to your pick for Wed.

all the best,tg

[George1776]

Greetings Tgold,

What do you think of me going back to flat betting these NBA games.?

When i was betting Tiers , some times I was betting Tier one When the bet was on TIER 2... and some times i would bet Tier 2 When should have been on Tier 1.

That's why i am going back to betting Flat Bets.

The bookie told me, we would make more betting Them flat.

luck at the casino.

jaime1943.

[George1776]

Greetings Tgold and members,

Today WED 11/17/2021 After almost 2 hours of handicapping these games, i came up with a team that my numbers like, But I do not like, this team... might show up tonight and blow away the other team.

But i have no other choice but to bet it, What i like is the line - 2... my pick is [ MINNESOTA - 2 ]

Guys be careful with the amount of money you bet on it.

luck at the casino.

jaime 1943.

[Tgold]

Hi jaime1943
It looks like you may have another pos streak materializing.

Jaimie: "...Greetings Tgold,
What do you think of me going back to flat betting these NBA games.? .."

I agree with your bookie in that you will make more flat betting vs doing a sliding scale(assuming you have an advantage), and I feel undoubtedly u do. I guess it just depends on your objective(e.g., Net+ for the year, double your bankroll, generate a weekly income,make bankroll survive the season, ...etc.).
Because you have an advantage (though we may not know the exact advantage), I would suggest just continue flat betting.

Another option Ill throw out just for consideration. One could consider a ( "kelly criterion" type % = To Your Advantage), of your bankroll and adjust daily or weekly. An example: Lets say u have a verified advantage of 1.5% (or whatever it is) and a bankroll of $10K, then wager $150 per event and adjust upward when the bankroll is greater than $10K(bankroll grows to 11K, then wager $165=1.5%). However, I wouldnt adjust the wager below $150 if that was the level of your initial losses equal(unless u are just wanting your bankroll to survive the season). Again just for our illustration purpose as I have no idea your precise advantage.
*I would encourage u to keep precise win/loss records season to season as not only can we calculate your advantage for future seasons. We can also examine how your winning /losing steaks unfold--I find this helpful in designing a wagering approach for any gambling event.

Bottom line: Flat bet seems to be working/meeting your objectives so I wouldnt change it.
Just keep doing what your doing.
----------------------------------------------------------------

An example from my aforementioned sliding scale: Im now 6-3 for the season and after going 4-3 on wagers @ 3.5U, I reduced on the scale and have won my wagers at 3.0A, and 3B, not counting the 11/17 potential wager. So I am +3net decisions and ahead 9.5U(less vig). My main purpose with the scaled model was to utilize the swaying back/forth of wins-loss streaks so the ratcheting up or down will pay for my expenses(vig ,commish,...etc). Based on the premise I will win my higher wagers and more losses will show at a slightly lower level.
Plus any lengthy losing streak will have less impact on my bankroll (providing we finish season >= 50-50 correct vs incorrect, and I could actually finish season ahead net$ even with slightly fewer wins than losses.
No worries at all as I feel very confident in your handicapping skills.


All the best/ may all cash tickets tomorrow,

[George1776]

Greetings Tgold,
I been doing this now for 3 years, betting NBA games.

In 2019, the first year i started playing NBA games, i was PLUS 35 games. I made alot of money.

In 2020 , It was a washout year, Corona 19...no action on NBA games.

In 2021, so far I'm [ Won 14 games and Lost 11 games ] Plus 3 games.

I think my mind is more clear now, so for that reason will be betting a flat bet of $ 300 dollars on every game.

Lets hope i have a better season in 2021, then i did in 2019.

luck at the casino.

jaime 1943.

[George1776]

Greetings Tgold and members,

On 11/17/2021 my pick was Minnesota - 2...They won by 10 points. GOOD FOR ME.

That makes my record now, [ WON 15 and LOST 11 ] Plus 4 games. That was a Flat bet of $300 dollars.

I had my [ Heineken beer ] I need to have 50 more this Season, after every Win.

I Do not have a Pick for THURSDAY, see you all on Friday 11/19/2021.

luck at the casino.

jaime1943.

[George1776]

Tgold, having problems posting,

Today 11/19/2021, Pick is CHARLOTTE - 2.5

jaime.

[George1776]

Greetings members,

Today on 11/19/2021, my pick [ CHARLOTTE -2.5 ] Won by 3 points. GOOD FOR ME.

The public made the [ pacers ] the Favorite, dont't know why, is ok... i won my bet.

Tgold, did you bet my Pick at 2.5?

luck at the casino.

jaime 1943.

[Tgold]

Hi Jaimie
Good job with your current W streak.

The Minn W was my 3.0C and Char game was my 3.0D. Per my sliding scale I will now reduce to 2.0A for my next wager since I won the first four at 3.0(anytime I win 4/7 @ one level I regress for the next 7-bet level). Keep doing what your doing.

*re:The Minn win--I ran some filters on it and didnt see any signif bias(though I liked the -2 points metric) / + the fact Minn was at home playing a team wrapping up a 4-game road trip. I was hesitant but for the sake of consistency and my motto: "In george1776 I trust".


"Good teams win, Great teams cover"


All the best,

[George1776]

Greetings Tgold and members,

Good betting on your part, Today on 11/20/2021 I have my Pick Winning at 7 . 0, but vegas wants me to give them 12 plus points...I will not. I will sit this dance Out.

Have to learn When not to bet. Hoping you and the members that are betting my picks are doing well

Right now [ WON 16 and LOST 11 ] Plus 5 Games.

luck at the casino.

jaime1943.