A Little True/False Survey

[Dylanfreake]

Any thing can happen on a craps table--good and bad . NO ONE ever knows what is going to happen. Some players may be better guessers than other players . I am not a good guesser which is why I play basically one way.

I did answer false to all the questions. But I am not an expert , just guessed lucky this time.

[AtGame7]

I did not take the survey, but I could argue that based on the way #4 is worded a "true" answer would have to be counted as correct.

Yes, more 7's would have to roll for PROBABILITY TO BE CORRECT. Make no mistake about it, that is true. The short term outcome does not HAVE to hold itself to the 100% true probability.

Should I flip a coin twice and it land on heads both time it would need to land on tails the next two flips for probability to hold true for those four flips. We all know that does not mean the next two flips, because I decided my sample size would be four flips, have to be tails. For true probability to hold correct then yes the next two flips must be tails.

Probability does not have to hold true in the short term, isn't that actually what we are hoping for as craps players?

[AtGame7]

I'm thinking you may be nit picking, but here's the actual question posed:
" If a string of 18 rolls occurs where no 7 appears, more 7's have to occur in the future for probability to hold true?"

Perhaps I should have said, more 7's have to occur in the future with NO LIMIT ON SAMPLE SIZE for the 1 seven in every 6 rolls that probability predicts to hold true. However, I don't think anyone was confused by the question, and the answer is false. Probability does not have to hold true in the short term but the probability of an event DOES hold true. The difference between the two is not a change in probability, but variance from it.

Fair enough.

I think it was clear the answers were false all along, but I felt like pointing that out.