Patrick Ricochet

[flextimeLV]

Re: Heavy's Twelve bets of Christmas

If he establishes the four or ten as the point you can lay $41 no four to hedge a $20 Don't Come bet. If the point is five or nine you can lay $31 against either of those. If the point is six or eight the correct lay is $25. You only use the lay bet for one roll - to hedge the establishment of the Don't Come bet. At that point the second number rolled by the shooter becomes your point.

I'd like to play this at the $10 DC level and keep the one-roll lays the same as described. Please advise as to recommended session bankroll, profit target%, and maximum loss target%.

Thank you in advance!

flextimeLV

[heavy]

Well, I would not reduce the size of the lay bets just because you're playing at the $10 level. Why not make a net $9 profit if the seven shows on the second roll? So plan on an average lay bet of $31. That's only going to stay up for one roll. Once the DC is established it becomes your primary number. What you did not say was whether you were going to lay odds on this bet or not - and whether or not you'd be making any additional DC bets. So, I'm going to "assume" that you are going to lay odds - and the amount you're going to lay is $30 - regardless of which number is established as the point. So once you take your initial Lay bet down you'll give the dealer $30 and say "lay on the DC." He'll set the bet up and you'll sit back and wait for a decision.

Average bet - $40 including the odds. I like to have enough bankroll to get through 12 shooters, so you're talking about a $480 session bankroll. Call it $500 and keep it simple. Win goal - $100. Loss limit - up to you. I'd probably say $200.

Chart the tables and look for one where shooters are not making points within 5 or 6 rolls. Play that table as long as that trend continues. When players start making passes it's time to move on to another table.