Post
by **$5Bill** » Thu May 12, 2016 4:18 pm

Professor H sent me this. I got confused reading it but I'll put it out there anyway.

Average Initial wager

$22 inside play $5dp/w odds

average odds= 4/10-

The point will be 4 or 10 six times per 36

come-out rolls, for total odds of 6 x $50 = $300

The point will be 5 or 9 eight times per 36

come-out rolls, for total odds of 8 x $30 = $240

The point will be 6 or 8 ten times per 36

come-out rolls, for total 0

The average odds wager after a point is set =

$ 540/24 =$22.50 average odds bet for my $22 inside play

$5 = the DPL bet.

Not making place bets when the point is 6 or 8 reduces the average wagered on place bets to $7.45.

I know that that seems too low, but that's because I'm including the come-outs, where one-third of the numbers are not points.

A point of 4 or 10 is established one time out of six come-outs. With a point of 4/10, you place $22. One-sixth of $22 equals $3.67.

A point of 5 or 9 is established two times out of nine come-outs. When that happens, you place $17. Two-ninths of $17 equals $3.78.

$3.67 + $3.78 = $7.45.

Because you always make a $5 DC bet when the point is 6/8, I think we should include that DC in the average initial wager.

A point of 6 or 8 is established ten times out of 36 come-outs. Five-eighteenths of $5 equals $1.39, which is the average wager on the first DC.

In addition, you make a second DC bet if the first goes to a 6 or 8. That will happen 25 times out of 324 come-outs (5/18 * 5/18 = 25/324).

25/324 * $5 = $0.39. This is the average wagered on the second DC.

On top of this, if any DC point is 4/10, you lay $20 in odds.

The average odds laid on the first DC = 5/18 * 1/6 * $20 = $0.93.

The average odds laid on the second DC = 5/18 * 5/18 * 1/6 * $20 = $0.26.

Summing everything:

$5 (DPL) + $22.50 (average DPL odds) + $7.45 (average place bets) + $1.39 (average first DC) + $0.39 (average second DC) + $0.93 (average odds on first DC) + $0.26 (average odds on second DC) = $37.92.

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$44 inside play $10dp/w odds

average odds= 4/10-

The point will be 4 or 10 six times per 36

come-out rolls, for total odds of 6 x $100 = $600

The point will be 5 or 9 eight times per 36

come-out rolls, for total odds of 8 x $60 = $480

The point will be 6 or 8 ten times per 36

come-out rolls, for total 0

The average odds wager after a point is set =

$ 1080/24 =$45 average odds bet for my $44 inside play

$10 = the DPL bet.

Not making place bets when the point is 6 or 8 reduces the average wagered on place bets to $14.89.

I know that that seems too low, but that's because I'm including the come-outs, where one-third of the numbers are not points.

A point of 4 or 10 is established one time out of six come-outs. With a point of 4/10, you place $44. One-sixth of $44 equals $7.33

A point of 5 or 9 is established two times out of nine come-outs. When that happens, you place $34. Two-ninths of $34 equals $7.55

$7.33 + $7.55 = $14.88.

Because you always make a $10 DC bet when the point is 6/8, I think we should include that DC in the average initial wager.

A point of 6 or 8 is established ten times out of 36 come-outs. Five-eighteenths of $10 equals $2.78, which is the average wager on the first DC.

In addition, you make a second DC bet if the first goes to a 6 or 8. That will happen 25 times out of 324 come-outs (5/18 * 5/18 = 25/324).

25/324 * $10 = $0.77. This is the average wagered on the second DC.

On top of this, if any DC point is 4/10, you lay $20 in odds.

The average odds laid on the first DC = 5/18 * 1/6 * $20 = $0.93.

The average odds laid on the second DC = 5/18 * 5/18 * 1/6 * $20 = $0.26.

Summing everything:

$10 (DPL) + $45 (average DPL odds) + $14.88 (average place bets) + $2.78 (average first DC) + $0.78 (average second DC) + $0.93 (average odds on first DC) + $0.26 (average odds on second DC) = $74.63.

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$66 inside play $10dp/w odds

average odds= 4/10-

The point will be 4 or 10 six times per 36

come-out rolls, for total odds of 6 x $150 = $900

The point will be 5 or 9 eight times per 36

come-out rolls, for total odds of 8 x $90 = $720

The point will be 6 or 8 ten times per 36

come-out rolls, for total 0

The average odds wager after a point is set =

$ 1620/24 =$67.50 average odds bet for my $66 inside play

$10 = the DPL bet.

Not making place bets when the point is 6 or 8 reduces the average wagered on place bets to $22.33.

I know that that seems too low, but that's because I'm including the come-outs, where one-third of the numbers are not points.

A point of 4 or 10 is established one time out of six come-outs. With a point of 4/10, you place $66. One-sixth of $66 equals $11

A point of 5 or 9 is established two times out of nine come-outs. When that happens, you place $51. Two-ninths of $51 equals $11.33

$11 + $11.33 = $22.33

Because you always make a $10 DC bet when the point is 6/8, I think we should include that DC in the average initial wager.

A point of 6 or 8 is established ten times out of 36 come-outs. Five-eighteenths of $10 equals $2.78, which is the average wager on the first DC.

In addition, you make a second DC bet if the first goes to a 6 or 8. That will happen 25 times out of 324 come-outs (5/18 * 5/18 = 25/324).

25/324 * $10 = $0.74. This is the average wagered on the second DC.

On top of this, if any DC point is 4/10, you lay $20 in odds.

The average odds laid on the first DC = 5/18 * 1/6 * $20 = $0.93.

The average odds laid on the second DC = 5/18 * 5/18 * 1/6 * $20 = $0.26.

Summing everything:

$10 (DPL) + $67.50 (average DPL odds) + $22.33 (average place bets) + $2.78 (average first DC) + $0.74 (average second DC) + $0.93 (average odds on first DC) + $0.26 (average odds on second DC) = $104.54.

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$88 inside play $10dp/w odds

average odds= 4/10-

The point will be 4 or 10 six times per 36

come-out rolls, for total odds of 6 x $200 = $1200

The point will be 5 or 9 eight times per 36

come-out rolls, for total odds of 8 x $68 = $544

The point will be 6 or 8 ten times per 36

come-out rolls, for total 0

The average odds wager after a point is set =

$ 1744/24 =$72.67 average odds bet for my $88 inside play

$10 = the DPL bet.

Not making place bets when the point is 6 or 8 reduces the average wagered on place bets to $29.78

I know that that seems too low, but that's because I'm including the come-outs, where one-third of the numbers are not points.

A point of 4 or 10 is established one time out of six come-outs. With a point of 4/10, you place $88. One-sixth of $88 equals $14.67.

A point of 5 or 9 is established two times out of nine come-outs. When that happens, you place $168. Two-ninths of $68 equals $15.11.

$14.67 + $15.11 = $29.78.

Because you always make a $10 DC bet when the point is 6/8, I think we should include that DC in the average initial wager.

A point of 6 or 8 is established ten times out of 36 come-outs. Five-eighteenths of $10 equals $2.78, which is the average wager on the first DC.

In addition, you make a second DC bet if the first goes to a 6 or 8. That will happen 25 times out of 324 come-outs (5/18 * 5/18 = 25/324).

25/324 * $10 = $0.77. This is the average wagered on the second DC.

On top of this, if any DC point is 4/10, you lay $20 in odds.

The average odds laid on the first DC = 5/18 * 1/6 * $20 = $0.93.

The average odds laid on the second DC = 5/18 * 5/18 * 1/6 * $20 = $0.26.

Summing everything:

$10 (DPL) + $72.67 (average DPL odds) + $29.78 (average place bets) + $2.78 (average first DC) + $0.77 (average second DC) + $0.93 (average odds on first DC) + $0.26 (average odds on second DC) = $117.19

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$110 inside play $5dp/w odds

average odds= 4/10-

The point will be 4 or 10 six times per 36

come-out rolls, for total odds of 6 x $250 = $1500

The point will be 5 or 9 eight times per 36

come-out rolls, for total odds of 8 x $85 = $680

The point will be 6 or 8 ten times per 36

come-out rolls, for total 0

The average odds wager after a point is set =

$ 2180/24 =$90.83 average odds bet for my $110 inside play

$15 = the DPL bet.

Not making place bets when the point is 6 or 8 reduces the average wagered on place bets to $37.22

I know that that seems too low, but that's because I'm including the come-outs, where one-third of the numbers are not points.

A point of 4 or 10 is established one time out of six come-outs. With a point of 4/10, you place $110. One-sixth of $110 equals $18.33

A point of 5 or 9 is established two times out of nine come-outs. When that happens, you place $85. Two-ninths of $85 equals $18.89.

$12.22 + $18.89 = $37.22.

Because you always make a $15 DC bet when the point is 6/8, I think we should include that DC in the average initial wager.

A point of 6 or 8 is established ten times out of 36 come-outs. Five-eighteenths of $15 equals $4.17, which is the average wager on the first DC.

In addition, you make a second DC bet if the first goes to a 6 or 8. That will happen 25 times out of 324 come-outs (5/18 * 5/18 = 25/324).

25/324 * $15 = $1.16. This is the average wagered on the second DC.

On top of this, if any DC point is 4/10, you lay $20 in odds.

The average odds laid on the first DC = 5/18 * 1/6 * $60 = $2.78.

The average odds laid on the second DC = 5/18 * 5/18 * 1/6 * $60 = $0.77.

Summing everything:

$15 (DPL) + $90.83 (average DPL odds) + $37.22 (average place bets) + $4.16 (average first DC) + $1.16 (average second DC) + $2.78 (average odds on first DC) + $0.77 (average odds on second DC) = $151.92

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$220 inside play $25dp/w odds

average odds= 4/10-

The point will be 4 or 10 six times per 36

come-out rolls, for total odds of 6 x $500 = $3000

The point will be 5 or 9 eight times per 36

come-out rolls, for total odds of 8 x $300 = $24000

The point will be 6 or 8 ten times per 36

come-out rolls, for total 0

The average odds wager after a point is set =

$ 5400/24 =$225 average odds bet for my $220 inside play

$25 = the DPL bet.

Not making place bets when the point is 6 or 8 reduces the average wagered on place bets to $74.45.

I know that that seems too low, but that's because I'm including the come-outs, where one-third of the numbers are not points.

A point of 4 or 10 is established one time out of six come-outs. With a point of 4/10, you place $220. One-sixth of $22 equals $36.67.

A point of 5 or 9 is established two times out of nine come-outs. When that happens, you place $170. Two-ninths of $17 equals $37.78.

$36.67 + $37.78 = $74.45.

Because you always make a $25 DC bet when the point is 6/8, I think we should include that DC in the average initial wager.

A point of 6 or 8 is established ten times out of 36 come-outs. Five-eighteenths of $25 equals $6.94, which is the average wager on the first DC.

In addition, you make a second DC bet if the first goes to a 6 or 8. That will happen 25 times out of 324 come-outs (5/18 * 5/18 = 25/324).

25/324 * $25 = $1.93. This is the average wagered on the second DC.

On top of this, if any DC point is 4/10, you lay $100 in odds.

The average odds laid on the first DC = 5/18 * 1/6 * $100 = $4.62.

The average odds laid on the second DC = 5/18 * 5/18 * 1/6 * $100 = $1.29.

Summing everything:

$25 (DPL) + $225 (average DPL odds) + $74.45 (average place bets) + $6.94 (average first DC) + $1.93 (average second DC) + $4.62 (average odds on first DC) + $1.29 (average odds on second DC) = $339.23