How would you bet these results???

[offaxis]

Hi everyone,
I will first start that my home practice doesn't seem to represent my in casino play. I have not played nor practiced since August. Just started re-practicing this January. These are my results.
SRR 8.38
Chi 0.01
Hard ways results: 4-3.6%, 6-3.2% 8-3.6% 10 -2.2% 12- 4.3% (hard ways set 2 tops, 4 facing)


2-1.8%
3-10%
4-10%
5-14.2%
6-11.9%
7-11.9%
8-11.9%
9-9.6%
10-11.9%
11-2.2%
12-4.3%
Going to the casino on Wednesday.
Wish me luck.

[heavy]

Without jumping in and crunching a bunch of numbers (particularly since you said the results didn't seem to hold up in live play) I'd probably tiptoe in with a fairly conservative strategy. When you're the shooter - Pass Line with 2X to 5X odds. Ordinarily I'd say bet the six and eight but in your case I'd probably say to focus on your single strongest number until you see whether or not a hand is developing. In this case I'd say bet the five based on your numbers. While I don't typically recommend playing the Field - in your case you might try it and use the profits from your wins to place the numbers. For example, play $10 in the Field and the ten rolls. Take the $10 you won on the Field bet and place the ten. Keep up that play until the six or eight whack you - then abandon it. Just my thinking. No doubt others will have different - and perhaps better opinions.

[London Shooter]

Looks to me like your 6&8 are giving you less than the average number of returns whilst the outside box numbers are performing better so I'd base my betting on those......at least until it all flips round in live play and you keep hitting nothing but 6s and 8s.

[heavy]

It would be interesting to take a look at the other permutations of dice sets and compare results. I suspect you'd find one set where you absolutely hammer the inside numbers.

[Mad Professor]

Hi OffAxis,

Given that we don't know the number of actual tosses that you threw at home to arrive at those numbers, combined with the fact that you mentioned that your at-home tosses don't come close to reflecting your in-casino results; you shouldn't read too much into the apparent edge that you are producing here.

Nevertheless, I ran your outcome-percentages through my Veg-a-Matic. However, because they are chart-heavy; I had to post the results HERE.



MP

[offaxis]

It was a full 720 rolls

[offaxis]

Went to the Fox and my throws matched home. 5,4,10 mostly with a lot of hard tens. My rolls lasted longer then 10 each time. Never made the point, 6 & 8.