Post
by Raider » Tue Jul 06, 2021 5:09 pm
D8NR, if you only go once a week, win 2k (or more) for 31 weeks, that's only 62K, so you would not be a pro if your living expenses were 100k and earning you living expense is the standard.
HoA
Attack Plan Alpha
I leave my apt at noon, arrive at the airport by 1pm
at 3pm EDT, flight 205 leaves for a nonstop flight to vegas.
Lands at 3:57pm PDT LAS
in casino by 5pm, buy in at my shoot postions(X factor) for 5k $100min (should not raise an eye in any casino in Las vegas).
$200 base bet on on others until I get the dice. No second bets, hand must pay for itself.
I get the dice.
pt is 5
$3200 across(includes $500 odds on five) 3300 at risk
6 hits press, 6 and 8 to 900, 3200 at risk
4 hits, press 4 and 10 to 1k, 3200 at risk
9 hits, drop 50, press 9 and five to 900, 3200 at risk
6 hits, collect 1050, 2150 at risk
9 hits,collect 1350, 800 at risk move to phase to of attack plan alpha
regress all bets to min, rack 4960, 2400 over buy in
100 come bet, use place bet and winnings as odds,
a1= seven out, color up and go home
a2= no other bets until come bet wins, collect and same bet all others until come bet wins
come bet wins, make two come bets, one hits got to three come bets, no more
seven out at some point.
get in cab by 8 pm go back to air port
flight 306 leaves at 11pm PDT non stop
arrive home by 6am EDT
back in apt my 730 am.
a1= 2400-500(airfare and cab) net 1900/20hr = $95 per hour
a2, ride out the hand and find out.
great plan, but no plan survives first contact with the enemy. How much did I win or lose until I got the dice? Do I seven out before I hit phase two? I did not factor in the vig
oh, three losses in a row, call it a year.
Rule of 10 bankroll, $50K
suicidal bankroll, $16500
1st year once a month
2nd year ever two weeks
3rd year once a week.
If or when I think I am good enough. Until then work the plan at my home house at smaller levels
If I thought about going pro, that's how I would do it, one hand and WALK AWAY. I think those last two words are key, that and not going to the casino, any casino too often, which for me is more than once a week, and since the standard is going to a casino every day is the standard, guess I will never be a pro.
Physics Trumps Probability