Re: Win goal per shooter??
Posted: Fri Apr 04, 2014 2:10 pm
there are certainly bigger swings but if you don't take advantage of the up swings it's hard to overcome the down swings because there are a lot more of them.Mad Professor wrote:
Avoiding random-rollers as much as possible isn't 'scared money'; it's actually 'smart money'.
I have no doubt that you've made a lot of money off of random rollers; but I also have no doubt whatsoever that you've also LOST a lot of money on random-rollers too....and there's the problem...losing more on RR's than you win.
The more money you bet on RR's, and the more often you bet on them; the more you'll lose...and yes, it really is as simple as that. Now obviously you can try to 'manage' your bets and your bankroll as much as you want; but the overall trajectory is almost-unfailingly downward when you look at a reasonable number of sessions.
Sure, you'll encounter a few tantalizing upspikes here and there (which will keep your hopes up just enough to keep you betting on them); but overall, without an edge, the walk is downward, no matter the time nor the money-management between or during each walk.
MP
In 2 years I have never played with somebody I felt could truly influence the dice. There was one fella that had a beautiful toss at Harrahs in AC a couple of weeks ago but he didn't seem to do better than anyone else. That leaves the RRs. Using DP's book I taught myself to play and am still ahead. I live by the win goals and loss limits. I don't care where you put the chips but the casino always has the advantage vs a random roll. The only way I see to overcome that is money management.
That being said, I think a regression method can smooth out the bumps in the road. I may have misunderstood the OP as suggesting to pull bets completely once the per shooter goal is met. I use a regression method all the time. Lock up the win first then attack!
My current move of choice now is a "same bet...press...same bet...press...same same same...press". There may be a name for it already but I'm gonna call it The Dinero Rosriguez.
