Heavy's Axis Power Craps Forum

I was much amused to see Gatgoil more or less apologizing for Irish's post, which was deleted when he departed our company. Yet any old Iris quotes made by others remain.

Heavy,

You said, "... Frankly, I've never been a fan of Across Betting, regardless of how you size the bet. It simply takes too many hits to get to the point that a regression will serve you well unless you are betting at least $160 across..."

but later in another post you said, "Even numbers in an option I like. How would you play it with the same general guidelines?"

If the same general "guidelines" is in reference to the maximum amount hovering at ~$120 (that I assume from your initial post's betting schemes), doesn't the first "bias" against a $96 Across bet contradict any variety of ~$120 Evens?

Not trying to start shit, just wondering how the math makes Evens more palatable than Across at these "lower" betting amounts.

Thanks.

mattyboyywonder great,i appreciate the prompt reply.

I found many of MPs post very informative. He always responded promptly to private emails/offered critique with a smile and encouragement.

I find #1 and #4 worthy of further discussion. I play with a full-time near daily player that uses #1 as his main "GO TO" strategy. He has the patience of Job/ will never jump on a heater hand.


From Mad Professor in 2014:
Randomly-speaking:

~The probability of hitting ONE 6 or 8 before a 7 is 62.5%

~The probability of hitting TWO 6 or 8's before a 7 is 39.1%

~The probability of hitting THREE 6 or 8's before a 7 is 24.4%

On average, approximately 1-in-4 randomly-thrown hands will reach the "three 6's or 8's before a 7" threshold.

~The probability of hitting FOUR 6 or 8's before a 7 is 15.3%

~The probability of hitting FIVE 6 or 8's before a 7 is 9.5%

~The probability of hitting SIX 6 or 8's before a 7 is 5.4%

~The probability of hitting SEVEN 6 or 8's before a 7 is 3.7%

~The probability of hitting EIGHT 6 or 8's before a 7 is 2.3%

~The probability of hitting NINE 6 or 8's before a 7 is 1.5%

~The probability of hitting TEN 6 or 8's before a 7 is 0.90%


MP



Continued Success,

Event Probability falls off
as a greater number of
back to back events are attempted.

Expect to observe fewer THREE Pass Line
attempts REPEAT than Single ( one of)
or two of Pass Line success adventures.......

The longer a hand rolls on
growing LONG in Tooth

The further that event is into THE TALL GRASS.....

Some shooters may frequently toss spectacular long hands

Time & tide eventually dominate and RESET JUMPS UP TO Bite.

The well timed i s r followed by subsequent REDUCTIONS save BANKROLL.

just me saying
w c