Heavy's Axis Power Craps Forum

Yes. It is NFL Wild Card weekend. And some great games to watch and wager.

Like DN8R's teaser plays above.

I'm going to dive in with a Saturday Parlay, Sunday Parlay, NFC Parlay, and AFC Parlay to make things interesting.

Saturday Parlay: Bills -6.5 (-105) / Seahawks M/L (-161) / WFT +8 (-110). Parlay calculator says pizza win at 30.20usd.

Sunday Parlay: Ravens vs. Titans over 54.5 (-110) / BEARS +10 (-110) / Steelers -6 (-110). More Pizza at 34.80usd.

NFC Parlay: Seahawks (-161) / Buccaneers (-400) / Saints (-500). For a cup a coffee and sweet roll...14.33usd.

AFC Parlay: Bills (-290) / Titans (+155) / Steelers (-210). For still more Pizza at 25.30usd. Did I ever mention, I love pizza.

Should be a great weekend of games.
May all your tickets cash and that 2021 gets off to a rip, roaring start.

B-Bro,
Bills didn’t cover, sorry Bro, but your AFC parlay still lives

Got the first leg of my parlays which had Bills as pick em.
Next legs are middles on SEA+3 to LAR +10, this’ll be interesting

Bro, hedge the Titans, and CBS just announced Wolford is starting for Rams

DN8R

Well, split on the Sea-LAR legs, a Tb +2 win still will put me a pizza ahead. Since Smith is on inactive list the line has moved three points and in game betting is suspended; I guess rumors of the books needing a Was cover must be more than smoke

Well, Pit gagged, but I have my middle with Ten +10 with CLV +12; which lead to a nice hedge. This was the week of the hedges as I retained nearly all my past earned pizzas.

Next week will be interesting, DN8R

Hi DarthNater et al. Good thoughts/wagers above.

I just saw line out on Brns/kc. Browns +10---seems high as I was expecting 7.5--8.5ish. Any opinions on this?

Thx in advance/continued success,

Tgold wrote: ↑Mon Jan 11, 2021 2:19 pm Hi DarthNater et al. Good thoughts/wagers above.

I just saw line out on Brns/kc. Browns +10---seems high as I was expecting 7.5--8.5ish. Any opinions on this?

Thx in advance/continued success,

I thought that was a bit high as well, but then having seen the bookmakers repeatedly get hammered on Mahomes & KC, perhaps; worse is the money line at -500. I can see them starting it at 10, just to see where the sharps bet. In my power ratings I have KC +11 on a neutral site; but that's with no adjustments on KC for the past six weeks as I see them as sleepwalking thru the season. They knew Pit was a pretender all the way and quietly locked up the #1 seed. All that said, if CLV comes out hot and gets a lead there could be opportunities with them & 10 points, especially with in game betting. Regardless, I'm waiting on the analytics from the guys that follow the injury sheet and am not in a rush to run to the window.

I did have a few rules this year, not to bet against Mahomes, Wilson, Brees, Brady, and Rodgers, but it's the playoffs and the only home field advantage this season is the frozen tundra, DN8R

Excellent points /thoughts Darth thx

Thanks, so far I have a 7 pointer on TB+10 with Bal +9..... for a fistful of pizzas.

GB has slid to -6.5 with all the media chatter focusing on sharps taking LAR plus the points. I don’t see it as Goff has three screws in his thumb and has struggled in cold before; while his backup was in the hospital last Sunday night.

LAR +13 or CLV + 17 are intriguing legs but not ready to play the middle game yet.

DN8R

I decided to pass on LAR + 13 and instead go with GB - 1/2, and Goff is playing. Added the GB leg in with the BAL leg; still like the CLV +17 play. Several pundits are teasing the Totals this week, as they are fearful of KC not covering and/or the refs snaking NO. I stopped betting totals last year, waaaaay too much volatility.

DN8R

DN8R:
Love your plays.
I'll take the frozen tundra teams Packers and Bills.
My thinking on the Chiefs is that they will rise to their best efforts for the playoffs after dismal season ATS play. They are looking for that second ring.
Not sure on the Bucs and Saints (battle of the well seasoned veterans). This one has the potential to go over, though.

May all your tickets cash as we get closer to the big day, February 7th.

Thanks Bro,
Got the first leg, decided to hedge with a middle of Buf +4 and KC -3 for more pizzas.

Almost, sigh; grabbed LAR +16.5 -110 in the In-game wagering, on to game 2, DN8R

Got a friend, dealer, in Biloxi. Put $5 on first touchdown scored. Picked Devonte Adams, Stephon Diggs and Travis Kelce. If Travis scores first touchdown tomorrow, payout is $1900! He swears by Boomtown casino, loves wide variety of props.

That’s a great prop and a good chance to hit, good luck to him.

The line has crashed to KC -8, been teasing with NO. Let’s see how it goes, DN8R

Living in Florida, is it possible to open an online account, just to get a football bet in?

House of Orange wrote: ↑Thu Jan 21, 2021 10:51 am Living in Florida, is it possible to open an online account, just to get a football bet in?

I don’t know if Florida has sports betting yet. All the apps use GPs and are tied to certain states. So I was able to use my apps in Nev but not Biloxi nor in the Keys earlier this year.

Last week wasn’t great. For this week, we have money line parlays already on KC and GB at +140. Still looking at -120 teasers we’ll see how the lines move

I also like a first halfs parlay at +160

DN8R

Morning mate,

DN8R, what are parlays and teasers, and how does the payout on each works?

luck for all.

jaime 1943.

Thanks Nate. Early line had KC -3. Would have bet the farm.

jaime1943 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 12:44 am Morning mate,

DN8R, what are parlays and teasers, and how does the payout on each works?

luck for all.

jaime 1943.

Jamie,
A parlay is auto-rolling the first bet win onto a second. Same as in craps when you parlay the Hardway win.

A teaser is two (or more) bets with 6,6.5 or 7 points added to a side, ties usually push.

Nate

House of Orange wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 11:45 am Thanks Nate. Early line had KC -3. Would have bet the farm.

You're in luck.... KC is -3 all over town, Buff money flooded in at 3.5 I guess. Hang on to a cow or two.

Meanwhile waiting on GB/TB still at 3.5.......

DN8R

Goodmorning DN8R,

Thank you, for the info on Parlays and teasers, you forgot to give us the payouts on the Parlays and teasers.

luck for all.

jaime 1943.