Heavy's Axis Power Craps Forum

Greetings Members,

Tgold, For 11/21/2021...sunday my pick is the [ Clippers ] -3.5. They should win by 4 points or more.

luck at the casino.

jaime 1943.

Jaime1943:
Good betting on your part, Today on 11/20/2021 I have my Pick Winning at 7 . 0, but vegas wants me to give them 12 plus points...I will not. I will sit this dance Out.
Have to learn When not to bet.

I agree/ think that is wise. There will always be good, better, and best wagers. Similar to the craps table--it is optimal not to wager continuously on
every shooter.


.sunday my pick is the [ Clippers ] -3.5. They should win by 4 points or more.

Thank you Jaime. I see the line opened at -3 and approx half of my books slowly moved to a current -4 , with half still at -3.5(I booked it @ - 3.5) ,
and none at the opening -3 .

Good luck to all,

Greetings Tgold and members,

Todays date is: Nov 21 2021, is 80 degrees with light Rain. Today is been a good day.

First thing first...BRING out my victory [ HEINEKEN ]. We won again...That's 5 wins in a roll . Good for us.

The clippers took care of [ DALLAS. ] 97- 91 ]beat the line of 3.5... Good win.

Now [ Won 17 And Lost 11 ] we are now PLUS 6 games.

Tgold, how much has your BANK ROLL gone up during this 5 game winning Streak? Mine has gone up 5x300 dollars.

Let me have another HEINEKEN before i do my Handicapping for Tomorrow.

luck at the casino.

jaime1943 .

Tgold, having problems posting again,

The clippers tonight Won 97 to 91.

Now [ WON 17 and LOST 11 ] Plus 6 games.

jaime 1943.

Tonight, Monday 11/22/2021,

I do not have a pick

luck at the casino.

jaime 1943.

Greetings Tgold and DN8R and members, I need help,

I,M new at betting these NBA games, If i want to bet a team to win... how do i go by doing this. ?

How munch do i have to bet on that team to win.

The reason I'm asking is because, if I set the the line at -5 points AND vegas sets at 11 points, does it not stand to reason that i should bet that team to Win. ?

Tgold and DN8R and member, Please get back to me.

luck at the casino.

jaime 1943.

Greetings Tgold and DN8R,

I have a question for Tgold on NBA games.

I have a question for DN8R on craps.

Tgold first, the line on the hawks was 12.5 or higher . In my handicapping i had them winning by -6.0, The money line was you put up $650 dollars [ to win ] $450 dollars, my handicapping gave me a 80% chance of winning, so the question to you is... Do you think betting the hawks to win would have been a good bet...and why.

The hawks won by 11 points, they did not cover.

The question for DN8R,you being a DON'T player...would you Lay 100 dollars on the 10 to win 50 dollars, and why.

I think every player that is a good NBA GAMES handicapper, should be betting these NBA games to win.

Tgold, DN8R and members, what do you think?

luck at the casino.

jaime 1943.

Greetings Tgold DN8R and members,

Today my numbers give me [ Miami ] I can not play Miami, vegas wants 10.5

Gave my Bookie [ 207 dollars to win 100 dollars. [ That's like making a lay bet on craps on the 10. ]

I will start betting to WIN for the next 10 games on these NBA games.

I am looking for a Betting System [ that it can Beat las vegas ] I do have a 80% Chance on this bet, on Miami.


Am betting like DN8R does on craps. The dark side.

luck at the casino.

PS: my bookie called me during the day to Cancel my Bet on Miami, HE said he gave me the wrong numbers...

INstead of 207- it should have been - 450 dollars to Win100 dollars. I said no to the bet, will not put up 450 dollars to win 100 dollars.





jaime 1943.

Hi Jaimie1943
Congrats again on the Clippers -3.5(Winner at 97-91). Your W streak continues.

J1943: Tgold, how much has your BANK ROLL gone up during this 5 game winning Streak? Mine has gone up 5x300 dollars.


My NBA bankroll is +17.5% (less vig) for the season and record is 9-3.

J1943: the line on the hawks was 12.5 or higher . In my handicapping i had them winning by -6.0, The money line was you put up $650 dollars [ to win ] $450 dollars, my handicapping gave me a 80% chance of winning, so the question to you is... Do you think betting the hawks to win would have been a good bet...and why.

Im not sure I understand the question as the part where you say the moneyline was to wager $650 on the favorite to Win $450 seems like a typo or misprint from the site.
Re:Your similar questions/thoughts a couple posts above.
If Im understanding your questions it seems you are referring to wagering the Moneyline Bet. So for clarification lets take an example from tonights (11/23) NBA action where one of my sportsbooks posted the Pointspread Bet:

Miami -10.5 favorites over Detroit.

They also posted the Moneyline Bet(Simply who we think will win) was Miami -550, Detroit +410 . So we are just picking the winner of the game /would need to wager $550 to win $100 on Miami (the fav) . "OR"
We could wager $100 to win $410 on Detroit if we thought the pistons could pull the upset.


Best of skill to you,

Greetings Tgold,

I will not play these games to Win, the money layout is to HIGH to win 100 dollars.

so starting tonight will be Only betting my Picks. so far [ WON 17 Games and LOST 11 GAMES ] PLUS 6 Games

My pick for tonight on 11/24/2021 is [ PORTLAND - 2 Points. ]

luck at the casino.

jaime 1943.

Hi George1776(formerly known as Jaime_1943)

G1776: re: moneyline bets vs ATS bets.
"...I will not play these games to Win, the money layout is to HIGH to win 100 dollars..."

I seldom wager moneyline bet . Mainly due to my lack of experience wagering moneyline bets and sports handicapping. I think there may be opportunities at times but like most things gambling(Weighted even-chance wagers), its difficult to get a significant advantage greater than HE & vig. I do like to watch the early moneyline "movements" to anticipate a potential upcoming change in our ATS line. Again, Im a novice sports handicapper so my perceived benefit of watching moneyline' movements may or may not be beneficial.

G1776:
"...My pick for tonight on 11/24/2021 is [ PORTLAND - 2 Points. ].."

I havnt looked at this yet (or any nba action for tonight). Im optimistic your 5-game winning streak will continue.



"Good teams win, Great teams cover"

Greetings Tgold,

There goes my 5 game winning Streak. Now [ WON 17 LOST 12 ] PLUS 5 games.

From now on, I will only be Posting my pick [ EVERY FRIDAY OF THE WEEK ] Once a week.

This Old man's brain is asking me to give this up, But for now, i will Handicap once a week.

luck at the casino.

jaime1943.

Greetings Tgold and members,

Hoping you guys had a good Turkey day, So far, up 2,000 + This year.

Hoping you guys are up too.

For Friday 11/26/2021 Will play... [ HORNETS 2.5 ] My Handicapping has them winning by 5 points.
Flat bet will be $300 dollars.

luck at the casino.

jaime1943.

Greetings Tgold ,DN8R, and members,

Nov 26 2021... Is only 75 Degrees here in puerto rico. nice night.

Tonight the bookies in VEGAS felt like giving the public money, Thank you.

My pick for [ FRIDAY ] was the Hornets 2.5... They won by 15 points. Good for me.

Now [ WON 18 Games and LOST 12 Games. ] Plus 6 games.

Tgold, hoping you played them too.

The hornets are starting to play as a team.

Till Next FRIDAY, when i will make my next [ PICK FOR THE WEEK ].

Luck at the casino.

jaime 1943.

George1776 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 22, 2021 10:30 pm
The question for DN8R,you being a DON'T player...would you Lay 100 dollars on the 10 to win 50 dollars, and why.

I think every player that is a good NBA GAMES handicapper, should be betting these NBA games to win.

Tgold, DN8R and members, what do you think?

luck at the casino.

jaime 1943.

Sure I’d lay $100 to win $50, if I’d assessed the table as cool/cold or if I’m protecting place bets.

For the NBA, on the money line I’m laying more to win less; so hopefully I have a high expectation for success. I get a better price if I bet the spread, but I don’t like to bet NBA spreads as I don’t really research them like Jamie, I’m content to have the winning side.

I’m a bit more aggressive with the NFL as there’s less games no real load management and really only touchdowns and field goals to manage: ie the key numbers of 3 and 6. That forces the books to really do their work which I try to exploit with teasers.

Congrats on your win streak, keep charging, DN8R

G1776: "..My pick for [ FRIDAY ] was the Hornets 2.5... They won by 15 points. Good for me..."

Good job and congrats on starting another W streak just after the 5iar streak. Unfortunately I missed this W as I perceived you wouldnt be posting a selection until NEXT Fri. Enjoy your well-deserved week-long sabbatical. Youre prob tired from all this winning winning winning.

DarthN: "I’m a bit more aggressive with the NFL as there’s less games no real load management and really only touchdowns and field goals to manage: ie the key numbers of 3 and 6. That forces the books to really do their work which I try to exploit with teasers."

Well stated.


Good luck to everyone.

Greetings Tgold and members,

Dec 1, 2021,


On monday, did not Handicapp...But on tuesday Just for the fun of it i did, Good news Still have the touch.

Can't wait for Friday when i will be posting my next Pick of the week.

luck at the casino.

Till we meet again on Friday...jaime 1943.

Greetings Tgold and members,

Is Friday again, Dec 3 2021... is time for my weekly Pick.

Have [ HOUSTON ] winning by 4 points, Vegas has them winning by -2.5

Yesterday a NBA team Lost by 73 points, the NBA should Fined that team $ one million dollars, and donate it to the Homeless, so they can have some food to Eat.

My pick for 12/3/2021 is [ HOUSTON - 2.5 ] Good luck guys/gals.

luck at the Casino.

jaime 1943.

Thanks Jaime1943 . Always good to hear from you. Glad to see you are back from vacation week.

I had not heard about the 73pt defeat u mention above. Im not sure exactly how that could happen as there is only a finite amount of time available. Maybe effort(lack of)?? Maybe more to the story so I will have to research.

Thx for tonights pick: Hous -2.5 .


Off topic : How far do you live from the new Foxwoods El San Juan Casino recently opened by the Mashantucket Pequot indian tribe via Connecticut.
Any opinions? What are the Sportsbook options like at PR casinos??

Thx in advance, tg


"Good teams win, Great teams cover"

Greetings Tgold,

Another Friday, another NBA pick.

That team that i said lost by 73 points...was a miss print by NBA scores today, that team lost by only 31 points, MY BAD.

I do not keep up with the news anymore in Puerto Rico, Was not aware that San Juan Puerto Rico was invaded, by the Mashantucket indians from Connecticut USA.

Was your state Invaded by any Indians yet.

My pick for tonight 12/3/2021 is [ HOUSTON ] - 2.5

luck at the casino. jaime 1943.




Sports betting in casinos here in PR, forget about it, Stay with your Bookie.