My recent strategy and a statistical anomaly, maybe...
Posted: Sun Mar 02, 2014 10:21 am
So I have finally decided on a strategy that works for my playing style, goals and bankroll. I say that because not every strategy fits everyone's playing "needs" and it took me a while to figure that out.
I am playing a $15 DP only, for the most part. If the come out is a box number I let it play out and parlay the first win each time. You might be surprised how many times the DP line wins four in a row so I've been tempted to go 15/30/60 then $120 and down, but I haven't yet.
If the come out is a 7/11 I put out a $20 DP line bet and $1 each on the hop 7's, 11, 12 so I have $40 invested at that point. On another 7/11 come out I let them pay me the $16 and down and start over with my $15 DP line bet.
I parlay any 2,3 come out winner as well as the first 7-out winner each time.
Now even I get bored with that so I allow myself a $12 6&8 bet if the come out is a 4/10. I've seen some long rolls that hit a lot of 6/8 without making the 4/10. I put down $20 odds on the 4/10 DP and the 6/8 bets.
That's it, not much to it but it's been working for me and accomplishes my goal of getting some playing time, not losing much and a chance at winning at least something along the way.
Now, here is where the stats take a bend for the unusual for me. I also allow myself a "walkaway" bet of $100 outside. If I am getting to the point I need to go to protect winnings or cut losses it means the table is heating up so I give it one last go with the $100 outside bet. I pick up a bet and press a bet, pick up, press and so on. At least that is the plan. I've seen some rolls just kill those outside numbers and the payoff is exceptional (for my play level at least). The problem is I am up to eleven, yes, ELEVEN times in a row of not picking up a number during that bet. Not all of them were PSO's, some were probably 8-9-10 rolls long always hitting the horn or 6/8.
I'm not crying, nor am I changing my "walkaway" bet, am I out of line thinking 11 times in a row of not hitting one number a bit out of line with the normal pace of things?
I also get two match play coupons a month from the casino, I have lost 8 straight on those.
When I turn those streaks around I'm gonna make it rain!
Anyway, have a good day everyone.
I am playing a $15 DP only, for the most part. If the come out is a box number I let it play out and parlay the first win each time. You might be surprised how many times the DP line wins four in a row so I've been tempted to go 15/30/60 then $120 and down, but I haven't yet.
If the come out is a 7/11 I put out a $20 DP line bet and $1 each on the hop 7's, 11, 12 so I have $40 invested at that point. On another 7/11 come out I let them pay me the $16 and down and start over with my $15 DP line bet.
I parlay any 2,3 come out winner as well as the first 7-out winner each time.
Now even I get bored with that so I allow myself a $12 6&8 bet if the come out is a 4/10. I've seen some long rolls that hit a lot of 6/8 without making the 4/10. I put down $20 odds on the 4/10 DP and the 6/8 bets.
That's it, not much to it but it's been working for me and accomplishes my goal of getting some playing time, not losing much and a chance at winning at least something along the way.
Now, here is where the stats take a bend for the unusual for me. I also allow myself a "walkaway" bet of $100 outside. If I am getting to the point I need to go to protect winnings or cut losses it means the table is heating up so I give it one last go with the $100 outside bet. I pick up a bet and press a bet, pick up, press and so on. At least that is the plan. I've seen some rolls just kill those outside numbers and the payoff is exceptional (for my play level at least). The problem is I am up to eleven, yes, ELEVEN times in a row of not picking up a number during that bet. Not all of them were PSO's, some were probably 8-9-10 rolls long always hitting the horn or 6/8.
I'm not crying, nor am I changing my "walkaway" bet, am I out of line thinking 11 times in a row of not hitting one number a bit out of line with the normal pace of things?
I also get two match play coupons a month from the casino, I have lost 8 straight on those.
When I turn those streaks around I'm gonna make it rain!
Anyway, have a good day everyone.