a DEAD horse: DI betting Crapless craps or even playing it?
Posted: Tue Nov 11, 2014 11:39 am
My favorite dice sets on a reglur craps table is 1-5/1-5 on the CO (trying to fill craps numbers on the ATS and pay the Horn bet); then I switch to x6's. I sure seem to get a lot of non-paying craps repeaters.
I wonder if a true influencer has more of an advantage on a Crapless table (with the correct betting scheme) than a Craps table. The idea makes me drool, because it just seems so "yes". Are there any mathematicians out there who've done the calculations to compare?
There's a crapless table at the Biloxi Harrah's (the old 'Grand') that I wonder about...
but I don't know how to bet it. So far, my use of the MP $204 w/2x regression (on a crap table) seems to pay off just fine. I've war-gamed adding a $10 2-12 and a $15 3-11 to the "$204" for a crapless game (after the CO only) and maybe obviously, I need to hit 3 numbers to regress "profitably" at these levels--but I'm only spreading $74 Across (less the point) at the regression. The theoretically net profit on a minimum 3-roll PPPPSO hand is ~$50. 5 Winners needed to make up for a PSO... scary; but the frequency of craps and yo's from the x6's sure seem appealing.
The PL poses problems too... once the point is established, is 5x Odds enough to slant the vig on Extreme Outside points? It seems like I should be betting more than 5x on 2-3-11-12 Odds if I wanna kill the house vig.
I'd like to know what the true payoff odds are on 2-3-11-12 Place bets, and what the correct Place bets should be. I can't find a discussion about what a $5 Place Bet on the naturals pays for Crapless games. Instinctively it seems that I shouldn't be betting in $5 increments, which means that a $10 or $15 bet shouldn't be regressed to one single $5 unit.
(In scanning this forum I found that there used to be a link to a primer on Crapless that Heavy must have authored, but it doesn't work now.) I apologize if this has all been discussed; I can't find threads discussing specific numbers; and I'm no mathematician by a long shot .
Thanks very much.
I wonder if a true influencer has more of an advantage on a Crapless table (with the correct betting scheme) than a Craps table. The idea makes me drool, because it just seems so "yes". Are there any mathematicians out there who've done the calculations to compare?
There's a crapless table at the Biloxi Harrah's (the old 'Grand') that I wonder about...
but I don't know how to bet it. So far, my use of the MP $204 w/2x regression (on a crap table) seems to pay off just fine. I've war-gamed adding a $10 2-12 and a $15 3-11 to the "$204" for a crapless game (after the CO only) and maybe obviously, I need to hit 3 numbers to regress "profitably" at these levels--but I'm only spreading $74 Across (less the point) at the regression. The theoretically net profit on a minimum 3-roll PPPPSO hand is ~$50. 5 Winners needed to make up for a PSO... scary; but the frequency of craps and yo's from the x6's sure seem appealing.
The PL poses problems too... once the point is established, is 5x Odds enough to slant the vig on Extreme Outside points? It seems like I should be betting more than 5x on 2-3-11-12 Odds if I wanna kill the house vig.
I'd like to know what the true payoff odds are on 2-3-11-12 Place bets, and what the correct Place bets should be. I can't find a discussion about what a $5 Place Bet on the naturals pays for Crapless games. Instinctively it seems that I shouldn't be betting in $5 increments, which means that a $10 or $15 bet shouldn't be regressed to one single $5 unit.
(In scanning this forum I found that there used to be a link to a primer on Crapless that Heavy must have authored, but it doesn't work now.) I apologize if this has all been discussed; I can't find threads discussing specific numbers; and I'm no mathematician by a long shot .
Thanks very much.