PGA Picks

Believe it or not, craps is not the only game in the casino. Savvy players have a back-up plan for when their craps game is off. If Heavy isn't winning at Craps you're likely to find him playing Baccarat, Blackjack, or even Roulette. If the table games aren't working out he may even take a cigar break in the high limit slot area for a little hit-and-run action. But just like craps - you have to plan your play and play your plan. If you have a question on slots, video poker, carnival games or any table games other than craps, this is the place to post. Let's hear about the games you play when you're not playing craps! What's your game? What's your strategy? How's that working out for you? Inquiring minds want to know!

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SHOOTITALL
Posts: 1016
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2011 6:42 pm

PGA Picks

Post by SHOOTITALL » Tue May 14, 2019 3:05 pm

The Bethpage State Park Black Course is one bad MF. Tiger won here in 2002 with a score of -3 (277) and that was in his prime.
So, my pick as a favorite, which really isn't a favorite is Jason Day at 20-1, but I like Rory McIlroy 12-1 also. He has not been playing well since he got hurt over a year ago so I believe his ribs still bother him.
However, I have a little faith in some longshots. What this course takes is accuracy in every part of your game and you are severely penalized for every errant shot. My long shot picks:
Brandt Snedeker @ 150-1
Sung Kang @185-1
And for those interested here is where I got the odds: http://www.vegasinsider.com/golf/odds/futures/
Your craps plan? The dice gods laughed.
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r_ventura_23
Posts: 1035
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2017 9:11 am
Location: New Jersey

Re: PGA Picks

Post by r_ventura_23 » Tue May 14, 2019 3:22 pm

I like Brooks. Long and straight. Not a fan of the odds though.

My book is offering Tiger at 15 to 1.
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Moe Bettor
Posts: 1596
Joined: Mon Dec 21, 2015 2:31 pm

Re: PGA Picks

Post by Moe Bettor » Wed May 15, 2019 8:24 am

How do you even determine odds on a tournament which lasts four days? Day by day I can see it..Hi, Lo..spread, but betting on a human being over four days. You might as well go for a quick pick or a lottery ticket. A horse player once told me never bet on anything that is alive. Which was the heighth of irony since he played the horses endlessly.
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r_ventura_23
Posts: 1035
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2017 9:11 am
Location: New Jersey

Re: PGA Picks

Post by r_ventura_23 » Thu May 16, 2019 10:46 am

I got in on Koepka at 11 to 1. He is now down to 2.5 to 1. However he is in a bit of trouble.
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SHOOTITALL
Posts: 1016
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2011 6:42 pm

Re: PGA Picks

Post by SHOOTITALL » Thu May 16, 2019 12:55 pm

r: Everyone is in trouble on this course so what is happening now doesn't mean a lot. Right now, all are just trying to shoot par and stay in the hunt. I suspect the cut will be somewhere around +7, maybe more. What is happening is when a player gets in a sand trap, he is fooked because of the high banks he has to play a layup shot just to escape so basically, a sand trap is is a 1.5 shot penalty, not the 1 point penalty of normal traps, excluding the pot traps of a links course like St Andrews.
Limerick from St Andrews:

Oh, the dirty little pill
rolled down the hill,
straight into the bunker,
After 13, I was on the green
and then by God, I sunk her
Your craps plan? The dice gods laughed.
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r_ventura_23
Posts: 1035
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2017 9:11 am
Location: New Jersey

Re: PGA Picks

Post by r_ventura_23 » Thu May 16, 2019 1:03 pm

It Koepka keeps playing like this, that cut number is going to be much lower.
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